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Author : Bertrand de Jouvenel
Release :
Genre :
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 087/5 ( reviews)
Book Synopsis The Art of Conjecture by : Bertrand de Jouvenel
Download or read book The Art of Conjecture written by Bertrand de Jouvenel. This book was released on . Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Jacob Bernoulli
Release : 2006
Genre : Mathematics
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 357/5 ( reviews)
Book Synopsis The Art of Conjecturing, Together with Letter to a Friend on Sets in Court Tennis by : Jacob Bernoulli
Download or read book The Art of Conjecturing, Together with Letter to a Friend on Sets in Court Tennis written by Jacob Bernoulli. This book was released on 2006. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Part I reprints and reworks Huygens's On Reckoning in Games of Chance. Part II offers a thorough treatment of the mathematics of combinations and permutations, including the numbers since known as "Bernoulli numbers." In Part III, Bernoulli solves more complicated problems of games of chance using that mathematics. In the final part, Bernoulli's crowning achievement in mathematical probability becomes manifest he applies the mathematics of games of chance to the problems of epistemic probability in civil, moral, and economic matters, proving what we now know as the weak law of large numbers."
Author : Clyde Lee Miller
Release : 2021-03-12
Genre : Philosophy
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 166/5 ( reviews)
Book Synopsis The Art of Conjecture by : Clyde Lee Miller
Download or read book The Art of Conjecture written by Clyde Lee Miller. This book was released on 2021-03-12. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: “Learned ignorance,” the recognition that God is beyond us and our knowing capacities is the theological concept for which Nicholas of Cusa is most famous. Despite God’s apparent absence Nicholas offers original ways to think about God that would unite his presence with his absence. He called these proposals “conjectures” (coniecturae). Conjecture and conjecturing are central to the methodology of Nicholas’s philosophical theology and to his thinking about human knowledge. By using concrete examples from the everyday life of his times as symbolic imagery Nicholas makes what we say about God imaginatively available and theoretically plausible. He called such conjectural symbols “aenigmata” (= “symbolic or ‘enigmatic’ conjectures”) because they partially clarify and likewise point to an exact truth that is beyond us. Novel and imaginative, Nicholas’s conjectural examples break with the traditional medieval Aristotelian examples and provide further evidence of his role as a figure bridging medieval and Renaissance thought. Following his earlier book, Reading Cusanus (The Catholic University of America Press, 2003), Clyde Lee Miller here examines and comments on the meaning of “conjecture” in Nicholas of Cusa. The Art of Conjecture: Nicholas of Cusa on Knowledge explores what Nicholas meant by conjecture and its import as demonstrated in his treatises and sermons. Beginning with Nicholas’ On Conjectures, Miller analyzes a series of conjectural symbols and proposals across Nicholas’s less frequently discussed texts and recently published sermons. This early Renaissance thinker offers an original and ground-breaking way of framing speculation in philosophical theology and more generally in philosophy itself.
Author : Glenn Shafer
Release : 1996
Genre : Computers
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 689/5 ( reviews)
Book Synopsis The Art of Causal Conjecture by : Glenn Shafer
Download or read book The Art of Causal Conjecture written by Glenn Shafer. This book was released on 1996. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In The Art of Causal Conjecture, Glenn Shafer lays out a new mathematical and philosophical foundation for probability and uses it to explain concepts of causality used in statistics, artificial intelligence, and philosophy. The various disciplines that use causal reasoning differ in the relative weight they put on security and precision of knowledge as opposed to timeliness of action. The natural and social sciences seek high levels of certainty in the identification of causes and high levels of precision in the measurement of their effects. The practical sciences -- medicine, business, engineering, and artificial intelligence -- must act on causal conjectures based on more limited knowledge. Shafer's understanding of causality contributes to both of these uses of causal reasoning. His language for causal explanation can guide statistical investigation in the natural and social sciences, and it can also be used to formulate assumptions of causal uniformity needed for decision making in the practical sciences. Causal ideas permeate the use of probability and statistics in all branches of industry, commerce, government, and science. The Art of Causal Conjecture shows that causal ideas can be equally important in theory. It does not challenge the maxim that causation cannot be proven from statistics alone, but by bringing causal ideas into the foundations of probability, it allows causal conjectures to be more clearly quantified, debated, and confronted by statistical evidence.
Author : De Jouvenel
Release : 1967-01-21
Genre : Art
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 294/5 ( reviews)
Book Synopsis Art Of Conjecture by : De Jouvenel
Download or read book Art Of Conjecture written by De Jouvenel. This book was released on 1967-01-21. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
