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The Art of Conjecturing, Together with Letter to a Friend on Sets in Court Tennis

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Release : 2006
Genre : Mathematics
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 357/5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis The Art of Conjecturing, Together with Letter to a Friend on Sets in Court Tennis by : Jacob Bernoulli

Download or read book The Art of Conjecturing, Together with Letter to a Friend on Sets in Court Tennis written by Jacob Bernoulli. This book was released on 2006. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Part I reprints and reworks Huygens's On Reckoning in Games of Chance. Part II offers a thorough treatment of the mathematics of combinations and permutations, including the numbers since known as "Bernoulli numbers." In Part III, Bernoulli solves more complicated problems of games of chance using that mathematics. In the final part, Bernoulli's crowning achievement in mathematical probability becomes manifest he applies the mathematics of games of chance to the problems of epistemic probability in civil, moral, and economic matters, proving what we now know as the weak law of large numbers."

Chance, Logic And Intuition: An Introduction To The Counter-intuitive Logic Of Chance

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Release : 2021-02-18
Genre : Mathematics
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 201/5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis Chance, Logic And Intuition: An Introduction To The Counter-intuitive Logic Of Chance by : Steven Tijms

Download or read book Chance, Logic And Intuition: An Introduction To The Counter-intuitive Logic Of Chance written by Steven Tijms. This book was released on 2021-02-18. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Chance rules our daily lives in many different ways. From the outcomes of the lottery to the outcomes of medical tests, from the basketball court to the court of law. The ways of chance are capricious. Bizarre things happen all the time. Nevertheless, chance has a logic of its own. It obeys the rules of probability. But if you open a standard book on probability, you may very well feel far removed from everyday life. Abstract formulas and mathematical symbols stare back at you with almost every turn of the page.This book introduces you to the logic of chance without the use of mathematical formulas or symbols. In Part One, you will meet the fascinating pioneers of the mathematics of probability, including Galileo Galilei and Blaise Pascal. Their stories will introduce you, step by step, to the basics of probability. In Part Two, various examples in all areas of daily life will show you how chance defies our expectations time and again. But armed with the basic rules of probability and a good dose of inventiveness, you will be able to unravel the counter-intuitive logic of chance.

Willful Ignorance

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Release : 2014-06-23
Genre : Mathematics
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 790/5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis Willful Ignorance by : Herbert I. Weisberg

Download or read book Willful Ignorance written by Herbert I. Weisberg. This book was released on 2014-06-23. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An original account of willful ignorance and how this principle relates to modern probability and statistical methods Through a series of colorful stories about great thinkers and the problems they chose to solve, the author traces the historical evolution of probability and explains how statistical methods have helped to propel scientific research. However, the past success of statistics has depended on vast, deliberate simplifications amounting to willful ignorance, and this very success now threatens future advances in medicine, the social sciences, and other fields. Limitations of existing methods result in frequent reversals of scientific findings and recommendations, to the consternation of both scientists and the lay public. Willful Ignorance: The Mismeasure of Uncertainty exposes the fallacy of regarding probability as the full measure of our uncertainty. The book explains how statistical methodology, though enormously productive and influential over the past century, is approaching a crisis. The deep and troubling divide between qualitative and quantitative modes of research, and between research and practice, are reflections of this underlying problem. The author outlines a path toward the re-engineering of data analysis to help close these gaps and accelerate scientific discovery. Willful Ignorance: The Mismeasure of Uncertainty presents essential information and novel ideas that should be of interest to anyone concerned about the future of scientific research. The book is especially pertinent for professionals in statistics and related fields, including practicing and research clinicians, biomedical and social science researchers, business leaders, and policy-makers.

Phylogenetic Inference, Selection Theory, and History of Science

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Release : 2018-07-19
Genre : Mathematics
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 722/5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis Phylogenetic Inference, Selection Theory, and History of Science by : Anthony William Fairbank Edwards

Download or read book Phylogenetic Inference, Selection Theory, and History of Science written by Anthony William Fairbank Edwards. This book was released on 2018-07-19. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Seminal papers by A. W. F. Edwards, published together for the first time with commentaries from leading experts to contextualise his contribution.

Money Changes Everything

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Release : 2017-08-15
Genre : Business & Economics
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 372/5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis Money Changes Everything by : William N. Goetzmann

Download or read book Money Changes Everything written by William N. Goetzmann. This book was released on 2017-08-15. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "[A] magnificent history of money and finance."—New York Times Book Review "Convincingly makes the case that finance is a change-maker of change-makers."—Financial Times In the aftermath of recent financial crises, it's easy to see finance as a wrecking ball: something that destroys fortunes and jobs, and undermines governments and banks. In Money Changes Everything, leading financial historian William Goetzmann argues the exact opposite—that the development of finance has made the growth of civilizations possible. Goetzmann explains that finance is a time machine, a technology that allows us to move value forward and backward through time; and that this innovation has changed the very way we think about and plan for the future. He shows how finance was present at key moments in history: driving the invention of writing in ancient Mesopotamia, spurring the classical civilizations of Greece and Rome to become great empires, determining the rise and fall of dynasties in imperial China, and underwriting the trade expeditions that led Europeans to the New World. He also demonstrates how the apparatus we associate with a modern economy—stock markets, lines of credit, complex financial products, and international trade—were repeatedly developed, forgotten, and reinvented over the course of human history. Exploring the critical role of finance over the millennia, and around the world, Goetzmann details how wondrous financial technologies and institutions—money, bonds, banks, corporations, and more—have helped urban centers to expand and cultures to flourish. And it's not done reshaping our lives, as Goetzmann considers the challenges we face in the future, such as how to use the power of finance to care for an aging and expanding population. Money Changes Everything presents a fascinating look into the way that finance has steered the course of history.

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