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Seasonal Climate: Forecasting and Managing Risk

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Release : 2008-01-29
Genre : Science
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 928/5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis Seasonal Climate: Forecasting and Managing Risk by : Alberto Troccoli

Download or read book Seasonal Climate: Forecasting and Managing Risk written by Alberto Troccoli. This book was released on 2008-01-29. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Originally formed around a set of lectures presented at a NATO Advanced Study Institute (ASI), this book has grown to become organised and presented rather more as a textbook than as a standard "collection of proceedings". This therefore is the first unified reference ‘textbook’ in seasonal to interannual climate predictions and their practical uses. Written by some of the world’s leading experts, the book covers a rapidly-developing science of prime social concern.

Probabilistic Forecasting and Bayesian Data Assimilation

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Release : 2015-05-14
Genre : Computers
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 422/5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis Probabilistic Forecasting and Bayesian Data Assimilation by : Sebastian Reich

Download or read book Probabilistic Forecasting and Bayesian Data Assimilation written by Sebastian Reich. This book was released on 2015-05-14. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this book the authors describe the principles and methods behind probabilistic forecasting and Bayesian data assimilation. Instead of focusing on particular application areas, the authors adopt a general dynamical systems approach, with a profusion of low-dimensional, discrete-time numerical examples designed to build intuition about the subject. Part I explains the mathematical framework of ensemble-based probabilistic forecasting and uncertainty quantification. Part II is devoted to Bayesian filtering algorithms, from classical data assimilation algorithms such as the Kalman filter, variational techniques, and sequential Monte Carlo methods, through to more recent developments such as the ensemble Kalman filter and ensemble transform filters. The McKean approach to sequential filtering in combination with coupling of measures serves as a unifying mathematical framework throughout Part II. Assuming only some basic familiarity with probability, this book is an ideal introduction for graduate students in applied mathematics, computer science, engineering, geoscience and other emerging application areas.

Probability Forecasting

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Release : 1980
Genre : Precipitation forecasting
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : /5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis Probability Forecasting by : Lawrence Ambrose Hughes

Download or read book Probability Forecasting written by Lawrence Ambrose Hughes. This book was released on 1980. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

When Will It Be Done?: Lean-Agile Forecasting to Answer Your Customers' Most Important Question

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Release : 2020-02-17
Genre : Business & Economics
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 376/5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis When Will It Be Done?: Lean-Agile Forecasting to Answer Your Customers' Most Important Question by : Daniel S. Vacanti

Download or read book When Will It Be Done?: Lean-Agile Forecasting to Answer Your Customers' Most Important Question written by Daniel S. Vacanti. This book was released on 2020-02-17. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The definitive guide on Lean-Agile forecasting that gives you all the tools you need in order to answer your customers' most important question.

Statistical Methods for Forecasting

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Release : 2009-09-25
Genre : Mathematics
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 299/5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis Statistical Methods for Forecasting by : Bovas Abraham

Download or read book Statistical Methods for Forecasting written by Bovas Abraham. This book was released on 2009-09-25. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Wiley-Interscience Paperback Series consists of selected books that have been made more accessible to consumers in an effort to increase global appeal and general circulation. With these new unabridged softcover volumes, Wiley hopes to extend the lives of these works by making them available to future generations of statisticians, mathematicians, and scientists. "This book, it must be said, lives up to the words on its advertising cover: 'Bridging the gap between introductory, descriptive approaches and highly advanced theoretical treatises, it provides a practical, intermediate level discussion of a variety of forecasting tools, and explains how they relate to one another, both in theory and practice.' It does just that!" -Journal of the Royal Statistical Society "A well-written work that deals with statistical methods and models that can be used to produce short-term forecasts, this book has wide-ranging applications. It could be used in the context of a study of regression, forecasting, and time series analysis by PhD students; or to support a concentration in quantitative methods for MBA students; or as a work in applied statistics for advanced undergraduates." -Choice Statistical Methods for Forecasting is a comprehensive, readable treatment of statistical methods and models used to produce short-term forecasts. The interconnections between the forecasting models and methods are thoroughly explained, and the gap between theory and practice is successfully bridged. Special topics are discussed, such as transfer function modeling; Kalman filtering; state space models; Bayesian forecasting; and methods for forecast evaluation, comparison, and control. The book provides time series, autocorrelation, and partial autocorrelation plots, as well as examples and exercises using real data. Statistical Methods for Forecasting serves as an outstanding textbook for advanced undergraduate and graduate courses in statistics, business, engineering, and the social sciences, as well as a working reference for professionals in business, industry, and government.

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