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Macroeconomic Effects of Japan’s Demographics: Can Structural Reforms Reverse Them?

2018-11-28 Business & Economics
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Release : 2018-11-28
Genre : Business & Economics
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 112/5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis Macroeconomic Effects of Japan’s Demographics: Can Structural Reforms Reverse Them? by : Mariana Colacelli

Download or read book Macroeconomic Effects of Japan’s Demographics: Can Structural Reforms Reverse Them? written by Mariana Colacelli. This book was released on 2018-11-28. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Yes, partly. This paper studies the potential role of structural reforms in improving Japan’s outlook using the IMF’s Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal Model (GIMF) with newly-added demographic features. Implementation of a not-fully-believed path of structural reforms can significantly offset the adverse effect of Japan’s demographic headwinds — a declining and ageing population — on real GDP (by about 15 percent in the next 40 years), but would not boost inflation or contribute substantially to stabilizing public debt. Alternatively, implementation of a fully-credible structural reform program can contribute significantly to stabilizing public debt because of the resulting increase in inflation towards the Bank of Japan’s target, while achieving the same positive long-run effects on real GDP. If no reforms are implemented, severe demographic headwinds are expected to reduce Japan’s real GDP by over 25 percent in the next 40 years.

The Impact of Demographics on Productivity and Inflation in Japan

2017-01-18 Social Science
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Release : 2017-01-18
Genre : Social Science
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 599/5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis The Impact of Demographics on Productivity and Inflation in Japan by : Mr.Niklas J Westelius

Download or read book The Impact of Demographics on Productivity and Inflation in Japan written by Mr.Niklas J Westelius. This book was released on 2017-01-18. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Is Japan’s aging and, more recently, declining population hampering growth and reflation efforts? Exploiting demographic and economic variation in prefectural data between 1990 and 2007, we find that aging of the working age population has had a significant negative impact on total factor productivity. Moreover, prefectures that aged at a faster pace experienced lower overall inflation, while prefectures with higher population growth experienced higher inflation. The results give strong support to the notion that demographic headwinds can have a non-trivial impact on total factor productivity and deflationary pressures.

Excerpt: Can Abenomics Succeed?

2015-01-30 Deflation (Finance)
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Release : 2015-01-30
Genre : Deflation (Finance)
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 184/5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis Excerpt: Can Abenomics Succeed? by : Mr.Dennis P Botman

Download or read book Excerpt: Can Abenomics Succeed? written by Mr.Dennis P Botman. This book was released on 2015-01-30. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since the bursting of the bubble, Japan has been unable to sustain economic recoveries. Monetary policy was unable to beat deflation, structural reforms failed to lift potential growth, and fiscal measures were insufficient to reverse the path of ever rising public sector debt. Japan’s revitalization plan dubbed the “three arrows of Abenomics” devises a three-pronged strategy—combining fiscal, monetary, and structural policies—to overcome these problems. Amid a more challenging external environment and an aging population, Japan may well face its last opportunity to avoid a highly disruptive fiscal crisis and restore sustainability in a smooth manner instead. The book discusses mutually reinforcing reforms on several fronts, including aggressive monetary easing, growth-friendly fiscal consolidation, and structural and financial sector reforms to revive animal spirits and stimulate potential growth.

Japan

2020-02-10 Business & Economics
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Release : 2020-02-10
Genre : Business & Economics
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 390/5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis Japan by : International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

Download or read book Japan written by International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept. This book was released on 2020-02-10. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This 2019 Article IV Consultation with Japan highlights that the rapid aging and shrinking of Japan’s population has become central to macroeconomic policies and outcomes. The consultation centered on the macroeconomic effects of Japan’s demographics. Mutually reinforcing policies are needed to lift current and expected inflation, stabilize public debt, and raise potential growth. Underlying growth is expected to remain resilient but will be increasingly challenged by slowing external demand and intensifying demographic headwinds. Growth in domestic demand is being eroded by the weaker external environment. Frontloading of private consumption ahead of the October 2019 consumption tax rate increase appears to have been smaller than in 2014.

Defeating the Dictators

2023-02-02 Political Science
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Release : 2023-02-02
Genre : Political Science
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Book Rating : 451/5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis Defeating the Dictators by : Charles Dunst

Download or read book Defeating the Dictators written by Charles Dunst. This book was released on 2023-02-02. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: ' Charles Dunst's deeply researched, timely and powerful book offers a blueprint for how democracies should fight back.' - Sir Kim Darroch 'Remarkable. A thoughtful and perceptive book.' - Rt. Hon. Jeremy Hunt, MP The world is currently experiencing the lowest levels of democracy we have seen in over thirty years. Autocracy is on the rise, and while the cost of autocracy seems evident, it nevertheless remains an attractive option to many. While leaders like Viktor Orbán disrupt democratic foundations from within, autocrats like Xi Jinping and Vladimir Putin do so from abroad, eroding democratic institutions and values and imperilling democracies that appear increasingly fragile. There are even those who, disillusioned with the current institutions in place, increasingly think authoritarianism can deliver them a better life than democracy has or could. They're wrong. Autocracy is not the solution - better democracy is. But we have to make the case for it. We have to combat institutional rot by learning from one another, and, at times, from our rivals. And we have to get our own houses in order. Only then can we effectively stand up for democratic values around the world and defeat the dictators.

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