1# Library to Find Best eBook for Read
Author : Philip Eyrikson Tetlock
Release : 2006
Genre : History
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 436/5 ( reviews)
Book Synopsis Unmaking the West by : Philip Eyrikson Tetlock
Download or read book Unmaking the West written by Philip Eyrikson Tetlock. This book was released on 2006. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 9788472457904.txt
Author : Philip Eyrikson Tetlock
Release : 2006
Genre : History
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : /5 ( reviews)
Book Synopsis Unmaking the West by : Philip Eyrikson Tetlock
Download or read book Unmaking the West written by Philip Eyrikson Tetlock. This book was released on 2006. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 9788472457904.txt
Author : Jeremy Salt
Release : 2008
Genre : History
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 704/5 ( reviews)
Book Synopsis The Unmaking of the Middle East by : Jeremy Salt
Download or read book The Unmaking of the Middle East written by Jeremy Salt. This book was released on 2008. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Politics & government.
Author : Richard Ned Lebow
Release : 2014-01-07
Genre : History
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 536/5 ( reviews)
Book Synopsis Archduke Franz Ferdinand Lives! by : Richard Ned Lebow
Download or read book Archduke Franz Ferdinand Lives! written by Richard Ned Lebow. This book was released on 2014-01-07. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Examining the chain of events that led to the Great War and what could reasonably have been done differently to avoid it, an acclaimed political psychologist creates plausible worlds, some better, some worse, that might have developed.
Author : Philip E. Tetlock
Release : 1996-09-08
Genre : History
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 913/5 ( reviews)
Book Synopsis Counterfactual Thought Experiments in World Politics by : Philip E. Tetlock
Download or read book Counterfactual Thought Experiments in World Politics written by Philip E. Tetlock. This book was released on 1996-09-08. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Political scientists often ask themselves what might have been if history had unfolded differently: if Stalin had been ousted as General Party Secretary or if the United States had not dropped the bomb on Japan. Although scholars sometimes scoff at applying hypothetical reasoning to world politics, the contributors to this volume--including James Fearon, Richard Lebow, Margaret Levi, Bruce Russett, and Barry Weingast--find such counterfactual conjectures not only useful, but necessary for drawing causal inferences from historical data. Given the importance of counterfactuals, it is perhaps surprising that we lack standards for evaluating them. To fill this gap, Philip Tetlock and Aaron Belkin propose a set of criteria for distinguishing plausible from implausible counterfactual conjectures across a wide range of applications. The contributors to this volume make use of these and other criteria to evaluate counterfactuals that emerge in diverse methodological contexts including comparative case studies, game theory, and statistical analysis. Taken together, these essays go a long way toward establishing a more nuanced and rigorous framework for assessing counterfactual arguments about world politics in particular and about the social sciences more broadly.
