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Trade Policy, Income Risk and Welfare

2005 Commercial policy
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Release : 2005
Genre : Commercial policy
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Book Synopsis Trade Policy, Income Risk and Welfare by : Tom Krebs

Download or read book Trade Policy, Income Risk and Welfare written by Tom Krebs. This book was released on 2005. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "This paper studies empirically the relationship between trade policy and individual income risk faced by workers, and uses the estimates of this empirical analysis to evaluate the welfare effect of trade reform. The analysis proceeds in three steps. First, longitudinal data on workers are used to estimate time-varying individual income risk parameters in various manufacturing sectors. Second, the estimated income risk parameters and data on trade barriers are used to analyze the relationship between trade policy and income risk. Finally, a simple dynamic incomplete-market model is used to assess the corresponding welfare costs. In the implementation of this methodology using Mexican data, we find that trade policy changes have a significant short run effect on income risk. Further, while the tariff level has an insignificant mean effect, it nevertheless changes the degree to which macroeconomic shocks affect income risk"--NBER website

Trade Policy, Income Risk, and Welfare

2010
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Release : 2010
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Book Synopsis Trade Policy, Income Risk, and Welfare by : Tom Krebs

Download or read book Trade Policy, Income Risk, and Welfare written by Tom Krebs. This book was released on 2010. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper develops a framework to study empirically the relationship between trade policy and individual income risk and to evaluate the associated welfare consequences. The analysis proceeds in three steps. First, longitudinal data on workers are used to estimate time-varying individual income risk parameters in various manufacturing sectors. Second, the estimated income risk parameters and data on trade barriers are used to analyze the relationship between trade policy and income risk. Finally, a simple dynamic incomplete-market model is used to assess the corresponding welfare costs. In the implementation of this methodology using Mexican data, we find that trade policy changes have a significant short-run effect on income risk. Further, while the tariff level has an insignificant mean effect, it nevertheless changes the degree to which macroeconomic shocks affect income risk.

Human Capital, Trade Liberalization, and Income Risk

2007 Human capital
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Release : 2007
Genre : Human capital
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Book Synopsis Human Capital, Trade Liberalization, and Income Risk by : Tom Krebs

Download or read book Human Capital, Trade Liberalization, and Income Risk written by Tom Krebs. This book was released on 2007. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using data from Mexico, the authors study empirically the link between trade policy and individual income risk and the extent to which this varies across workers of different human capital (education) levels. They use longitudinal income data on workers to estimate time-varying individual income risk parameters in different manufacturing sectors in Mexico between 1987 and 1998, a period in which the Mexican economy experienced substantial changes in trade policy. In a second step, they use the variations in trade policy across different sectors and over time to estimate the link between trade policy and income risk for workers of varying education levels. The authors' findings are as follows. The level of openness of an economy is not found to be related to income risk for workers of any type. Furthermore, changes in trade policy (that is, trade policy reforms) are not found to have any effect on the risk to income faced by workers with either low or high levels of human capital. But workers with intermediate levels of human capital are found to experience a statistically and economically significant increase in income risk immediately following liberalization of trade. The findings thus point to an interesting non-monotonicity in the interaction between human capital, income risk and trade policy changes.

Trade Policy and Global Poverty

2004
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Release : 2004
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Book Rating : 683/5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis Trade Policy and Global Poverty by : William R. Cline

Download or read book Trade Policy and Global Poverty written by William R. Cline. This book was released on 2004. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Free trade can help 500 million people escape poverty and inject.

Loss Aversion and Trade Policy

2004 Commercial policy
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Release : 2004
Genre : Commercial policy
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Book Synopsis Loss Aversion and Trade Policy by : Caroline L. Freund

Download or read book Loss Aversion and Trade Policy written by Caroline L. Freund. This book was released on 2004. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Freund and Özden provide new survey evidence showing that loss aversion and reference dependence are important in shaping people's perception of trade policy. Under the assumption that agents' welfare functions exhibit these behavioral elements, they analyze a model with a welfare-maximizing government and with the lobbying framework of Grossman and Helpman (1994). The policy implications of the augmented models differ in three important ways: There is a region of compensating protection, where a decline in the world price leads to an offsetting increase in protection, such that a constant domestic price is maintained; Protection following a single negative price shock will be persistent; Irrespective of the extent of lobbying, there will be a deviation from free trade that tends to favor loss-making industries. The augmented models are more consistent with the observed structure of protection and, in particular explain why many trade policy instruments are explicitly designed to maintain prices at a given level. This paper-- a product of the Trade Team, Development Research Group-- is part of a larger effort in the group to analyze trade policy formulation"-- World Bank web site.

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