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The Volatility Curse

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Release : 2020-11-05
Genre : Political Science
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 944/5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis The Volatility Curse by : Daniela Campello

Download or read book The Volatility Curse written by Daniela Campello. This book was released on 2020-11-05. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Volatility Curse examines the conditions under which economic voting can (and cannot) function as a mechanism of democratic accountability, challenging existing theories that are largely based on experiences in developed democracies. Drawing on cross-national data from around the world and micro-level evidence from Latin America, Daniela Campello and Cesar Zucco make two broad, related arguments. First, they show that economic voting is pervasive around the world, but in economically volatile developing democracies that are dependent on commodity exports and inflows of foreign capital, economic outcomes are highly contingent on conditions beyond government control, which nonetheless determine relevant political outcomes like elections, popular support, and government transitions. Second, politicians are aware of these misattribution patterns and are often able to anticipate their electoral prospects well before elections. This reduces incumbents' incentives to maximize voter welfare, as anticipated by economic voting theories, and increases the likelihood of shirking, waste, and corruption.

The Volatility Curse

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Author :
Release : 2009
Genre :
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : /5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis The Volatility Curse by : Frederick van der Ploeg

Download or read book The Volatility Curse written by Frederick van der Ploeg. This book was released on 2009. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Volatility Curse

Download The Volatility Curse PDF Online Free

Author :
Release : 2020-11-05
Genre : Political Science
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 791/5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis The Volatility Curse by : Daniela Campello

Download or read book The Volatility Curse written by Daniela Campello. This book was released on 2020-11-05. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economic voting is common around the world, but in many developing countries economic performance is dependent on exogenous international factors.

Institutions and the Volatility Curse

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Author :
Release : 2011
Genre :
Kind : eBook
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Book Synopsis Institutions and the Volatility Curse by : Weishu Leong

Download or read book Institutions and the Volatility Curse written by Weishu Leong. This book was released on 2011. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Volatility Curse

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Author :
Release : 2013
Genre :
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : /5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis The Volatility Curse by : Rick van der Ploeg

Download or read book The Volatility Curse written by Rick van der Ploeg. This book was released on 2013. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The volatility of unanticipated output growth in income per capita is detrimental to long-run development, controlling for initial income per capita, population growth, human capital, investment, openness and natural resource dependence. This effect is significant and robust over a wide range of specifications. We unravel the effects of volatility by opening the black box and conditioning the variance of growth shocks on several country characteristics. Natural resource dependence, physical and institutional barriers to trade and associated policy shocks increase volatility sharply and harm growth through this indirect channel. The robust indirect effect of natural resources through volatility trumps any direct effects on economic development, even if natural resource dependence is measured net of extraction costs. Financial development appears to mitigate the harmful causes of volatility. Our panel data estimation confirms our cross-country results, but we also offer evidence that well developed financial systems amplify the effect of short-term terms-of-trade volatility on macroeconomic volatility.

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