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The Effects of Weather Shocks on Economic Activity: What are the Channels of Impact?

2018-06-22 Business & Economics
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Release : 2018-06-22
Genre : Business & Economics
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Book Rating : 236/5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis The Effects of Weather Shocks on Economic Activity: What are the Channels of Impact? by : Mr.Sebastian Acevedo Mejia

Download or read book The Effects of Weather Shocks on Economic Activity: What are the Channels of Impact? written by Mr.Sebastian Acevedo Mejia. This book was released on 2018-06-22. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Global temperatures have increased at an unprecedented pace in the past 40 years. This paper finds that increases in temperature have uneven macroeconomic effects, with adverse consequences concentrated in countries with hot climates, such as most low-income countries. In these countries, a rise in temperature lowers per capita output, in both the short and medium term, through a wide array of channels: reduced agricultural output, suppressed productivity of workers exposed to heat, slower investment, and poorer health. In an unmitigated climate change scenario, and under very conservative assumptions, model simulations suggest the projected rise in temperature would imply a loss of around 9 percent of output for a representative low-income country by 2100.

The Effects of Weather Shocks on Economic Activity

2018
Download The Effects of Weather Shocks on Economic Activity PDF Online Free

Author :
Release : 2018
Genre :
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : /5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis The Effects of Weather Shocks on Economic Activity by :

Download or read book The Effects of Weather Shocks on Economic Activity written by . This book was released on 2018. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Global temperatures have increased at an unprecedented pace in the past 40 years. This paper finds that increases in temperature have uneven macroeconomic effects, with adverse consequences concentrated in countries with hot climates, such as most low-income countries. In these countries, a rise in temperature lowers per capita output, in both the short and medium term, through a wide array of channels: reduced agricultural output, suppressed productivity of workers exposed to heat, slower investment, and poorer health. In an unmitigated climate change scenario, and under very conservative assumptions, model simulations suggest the projected rise in temperature would imply a loss of around 9 percent of output for a representative low-income country by 2100.

Long-Term Macroeconomic Effects of Climate Change: A Cross-Country Analysis

2019-10-11 Business & Economics
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Release : 2019-10-11
Genre : Business & Economics
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 598/5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis Long-Term Macroeconomic Effects of Climate Change: A Cross-Country Analysis by : Matthew E. Kahn

Download or read book Long-Term Macroeconomic Effects of Climate Change: A Cross-Country Analysis written by Matthew E. Kahn. This book was released on 2019-10-11. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We study the long-term impact of climate change on economic activity across countries, using a stochastic growth model where labor productivity is affected by country-specific climate variables—defined as deviations of temperature and precipitation from their historical norms. Using a panel data set of 174 countries over the years 1960 to 2014, we find that per-capita real output growth is adversely affected by persistent changes in the temperature above or below its historical norm, but we do not obtain any statistically significant effects for changes in precipitation. Our counterfactual analysis suggests that a persistent increase in average global temperature by 0.04°C per year, in the absence of mitigation policies, reduces world real GDP per capita by more than 7 percent by 2100. On the other hand, abiding by the Paris Agreement, thereby limiting the temperature increase to 0.01°C per annum, reduces the loss substantially to about 1 percent. These effects vary significantly across countries depending on the pace of temperature increases and variability of climate conditions. We also provide supplementary evidence using data on a sample of 48 U.S. states between 1963 and 2016, and show that climate change has a long-lasting adverse impact on real output in various states and economic sectors, and on labor productivity and employment.

Assessing the Macroeconomic Impact of Weather Shocks in Colombia

2023
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Release : 2023
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Book Synopsis Assessing the Macroeconomic Impact of Weather Shocks in Colombia by : José Vicente Romero

Download or read book Assessing the Macroeconomic Impact of Weather Shocks in Colombia written by José Vicente Romero. This book was released on 2023. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper, we investigate the impact of adverse weather shocks on Colombian economic activity, with a particular emphasis on the effects on agricultural output, food and headline inflation. Existing literature and empirical evidence suggest that adverse weather shocks, such as those related to the El Niño event in 2015-2016, lead to decreases in agricultural output and increases in inflation without significantly affecting total GDP growth. To further assess this result, we evaluate the impact of ENSO fluctuations using a BVAR-X model. Based on these findings, we propose a small open economy New Keynesian model that introduces a novel channel through which relative prices (agricultural vs. non-agricultural) are affected by weather shocks, allowing us to incorporate this empirical evidence into a structural model for Colombia.

Shock Waves

2015-11-23 Business & Economics
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Release : 2015-11-23
Genre : Business & Economics
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 748/5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis Shock Waves by : Stephane Hallegatte

Download or read book Shock Waves written by Stephane Hallegatte. This book was released on 2015-11-23. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Ending poverty and stabilizing climate change will be two unprecedented global achievements and two major steps toward sustainable development. But the two objectives cannot be considered in isolation: they need to be jointly tackled through an integrated strategy. This report brings together those two objectives and explores how they can more easily be achieved if considered together. It examines the potential impact of climate change and climate policies on poverty reduction. It also provides guidance on how to create a “win-win†? situation so that climate change policies contribute to poverty reduction and poverty-reduction policies contribute to climate change mitigation and resilience building. The key finding of the report is that climate change represents a significant obstacle to the sustained eradication of poverty, but future impacts on poverty are determined by policy choices: rapid, inclusive, and climate-informed development can prevent most short-term impacts whereas immediate pro-poor, emissions-reduction policies can drastically limit long-term ones.

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