Simply Rational

2015 Psychology

Author : Gerd Gigerenzer
Release : 2015
Genre : Psychology
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 07X/5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis Simply Rational by : Gerd Gigerenzer

Download or read book Simply Rational written by Gerd Gigerenzer. This book was released on 2015. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Statistical illiteracy can have an enormously negative impact on decision making. This volume of collected papers brings together applied and theoretical research on risks and decision making across the fields of medicine, psychology, and economics. Collectively, the essays demonstrate why the frame in which statistics are communicated is essential for broader understanding and sound decision making, and that understanding risks and uncertainty has wide-reaching implications for daily life. Gerd Gigerenzer provides a lucid review and catalog of concrete instances of heuristics, or rules of thumb, that people and animals rely on to make decisions under uncertainty, explaining why these are very often more rational than probability models. After a critical look at behavioral theories that do not model actual psychological processes, the book concludes with a call for a heuristic revolution that will enable us to understand the ecological rationality of both statistics and heuristics, and bring a dose of sanity to the study of rationality.

Global Alert

2015-05-05 Political Science

Author : Boaz Ganor
Release : 2015-05-05
Genre : Political Science
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 91X/5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis Global Alert by : Boaz Ganor

Download or read book Global Alert written by Boaz Ganor. This book was released on 2015-05-05. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Many associate terrorism with irrational behavior and believe only lunatics could perpetuate such horrific acts. Global Alert debunks this myth by anatomizing the rationale behind modern terrorism. It draws a distinct picture of its root and instrumental causes and plots the different stages of a terrorist attack, from indoctrination and recruitment to planning, preparation, and launch. Global Alert also exposes the measured exploitation of democratic institutions by terrorists to further their goals. Despite its strong capabilities and extensive resources, the modern liberal-democratic state is nevertheless subject to the rules of war, which partially restrict the state's ability to operate and maneuver. Boaz Ganor shows how terrorist organizations exploit these values to paralyze or neutralize the states they oppose. In outlining this new "hybrid" terrorist organization and its activity in both the military–terrorist arena and the political–welfare arena, Ganor advances an international doctrine for governing military operations between state and nonstate actors as part of a new type of armed conflict termed "multidimensional warfare."

The Principles of Logic

1922 Logic

Author : Francis Herbert Bradley
Release : 1922
Genre : Logic
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : /5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis The Principles of Logic by : Francis Herbert Bradley

Download or read book The Principles of Logic written by Francis Herbert Bradley. This book was released on 1922. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Integrating Cognitive and Rational Theories of Foreign Policy Decision Making

2016-04-30 Political Science

Author : A. Mintz
Release : 2016-04-30
Genre : Political Science
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 480/5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis Integrating Cognitive and Rational Theories of Foreign Policy Decision Making by : A. Mintz

Download or read book Integrating Cognitive and Rational Theories of Foreign Policy Decision Making written by A. Mintz. This book was released on 2016-04-30. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: There are two dominant approaches to political decision making in general and foreign policy decision making in particular: rational choice and cognitive psychology. The essays here introduce and test the poliheuristic theory of decision making that integrates elements of both schools. The poliheuristic theory is able to account for the outcome and the process of decisions, and integrates across levels of analysis (individual, dyad, and group). The collection focuses on both elements of the theory itself and also looks at how the theory can be used to better understand political decisions that were made in the past.

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