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Robust Machine Learning and the Application to Lane Change Decision Making Prediction

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Author :
Release : 2021
Genre : Mathematics
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : /5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis Robust Machine Learning and the Application to Lane Change Decision Making Prediction by : Hua Huang

Download or read book Robust Machine Learning and the Application to Lane Change Decision Making Prediction written by Hua Huang. This book was released on 2021. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the foreseeable future, autonomous vehicles will have to drive alongside human drivers. In the absence of vehicle-to-vehicle communication, they will have to be able to predict the other road users' intentions. Equally importantly, they will also need to behave like a typical human driver such that other road users can infer their actions. It is critical to be able to learn a human driver's mental model and integrate it into the planning and control algorithm. In this dissertation, we first present a robust method to predict lane changes as cooperative or adversarial. For that, we first introduce a method to annotate lane changes as cooperative and adversarial based on the entire lane change trajectory. We then propose to train a specially designed neural network to predict the lane change label before the lane change has occurred and quantify the prediction uncertainty. The model will make lane change decisions following human drivers' driving habits and preferences, id est, it will only change lanes when the surrounding traffic is considered to be appropriate for the majority of human drivers. It will also recognize unseen novel samples and output low prediction confidence correspondingly, to alert the driver to take control or take conservative actions in such cases.

Decision-Making Techniques for Autonomous Vehicles

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Author :
Release : 2023-03-03
Genre : Technology & Engineering
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 491/5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis Decision-Making Techniques for Autonomous Vehicles by : Jorge Villagra

Download or read book Decision-Making Techniques for Autonomous Vehicles written by Jorge Villagra. This book was released on 2023-03-03. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Decision-Making Techniques for Autonomous Vehicles provides a general overview of control and decision-making tools that could be used in autonomous vehicles. Motion prediction and planning tools are presented, along with the use of machine learning and adaptability to improve performance of algorithms in real scenarios. The book then examines how driver monitoring and behavior analysis are used produce comprehensive and predictable reactions in automated vehicles. The book ultimately covers regulatory and ethical issues to consider for implementing correct and robust decision-making. This book is for researchers as well as Masters and PhD students working with autonomous vehicles and decision algorithms. - Provides a complete overview of decision-making and control techniques for autonomous vehicles - Includes technical, physical, and mathematical explanations to provide knowledge for implementation of tools - Features machine learning to improve performance of decision-making algorithms - Shows how regulations and ethics influence the development and implementation of these algorithms in real scenarios

Robust Machine Learning Models and Their Applications

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Release : 2021
Genre :
Kind : eBook
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Book Synopsis Robust Machine Learning Models and Their Applications by : Hongge Chen (Ph. D.)

Download or read book Robust Machine Learning Models and Their Applications written by Hongge Chen (Ph. D.). This book was released on 2021. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recent studies have demonstrated that machine learning models are vulnerable to adversarial perturbations – a small and human-imperceptible input perturbation can easily change the model output completely. This has created serious security threats to many real applications, so it becomes important to formally verify the robustness of machine learning models. This thesis studies the robustness of deep neural networks as well as tree-based models, and considers the applications of robust machine learning models in deep reinforcement learning. We first develop a novel algorithm to learn robust trees. Our method aims to optimize the performance under the worst case perturbation of input features, which leads to a max-min saddle point problem when splitting nodes in trees. We propose efficient tree building algorithms by approximating the inner minimizer in this saddle point problem, and present efficient implementations for classical information gain based trees as well as state-of-the-art tree boosting models such as XGBoost. Experiments show that our method improve the model robustness significantly. We also propose an efficient method to verify the robustness of tree ensembles. We cast the tree ensembles verification problem as a max-clique problem on a multipartite graph. We develop an efficient multi-level verification algorithm that can give tight lower bounds on robustness of decision tree ensembles, while allowing iterative improvement and termination at any-time. On random forest or gradient boosted decision trees models trained on various datasets, our algorithm is up to hundreds of times faster than the previous approach that requires solving a mixed integer linear programming, and is able to give tight robustness verification bounds on large ensembles with hundreds of deep trees. For neural networks, we contribute a number of empirical studies on the practicality and the hardness of adversarial training. We show that even with adversarial defense, a model’s robustness on a test example has a strong correlation with the distance between that example and the manifold of training data embedded by the network. Test examples that are relatively far away from this manifold are more likely to be vulnerable to adversarial attacks. Consequentially, we demonstrate that an adversarial training based defense is vulnerable to a new class of attacks, the “blind-spot attack,” where the input examples reside in low density regions (“blind-spots”) of the empirical distribution of training data but are still on the valid ground-truth data manifold. Finally, we apply neural network robust training methods to deep reinforcement learning (DRL) to train agents that are robust against perturbations on state observations. We propose the state-adversarial Markov decision process (SA-MDP) to study the fundamental properties of this problem, and propose a theoretically principled regularization which can be applied to different DRL algorithms, including deep Q networks (DQN) and proximal policy optimization (PPO). We significantly improve the robustness of agents under strong white box adversarial attacks, including new attacks of our own.

Conformal Prediction for Reliable Machine Learning

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Author :
Release : 2014-04-23
Genre : Computers
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 150/5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis Conformal Prediction for Reliable Machine Learning by : Vineeth Balasubramanian

Download or read book Conformal Prediction for Reliable Machine Learning written by Vineeth Balasubramanian. This book was released on 2014-04-23. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The conformal predictions framework is a recent development in machine learning that can associate a reliable measure of confidence with a prediction in any real-world pattern recognition application, including risk-sensitive applications such as medical diagnosis, face recognition, and financial risk prediction. Conformal Predictions for Reliable Machine Learning: Theory, Adaptations and Applications captures the basic theory of the framework, demonstrates how to apply it to real-world problems, and presents several adaptations, including active learning, change detection, and anomaly detection. As practitioners and researchers around the world apply and adapt the framework, this edited volume brings together these bodies of work, providing a springboard for further research as well as a handbook for application in real-world problems. - Understand the theoretical foundations of this important framework that can provide a reliable measure of confidence with predictions in machine learning - Be able to apply this framework to real-world problems in different machine learning settings, including classification, regression, and clustering - Learn effective ways of adapting the framework to newer problem settings, such as active learning, model selection, or change detection

Machine Learning and Causality

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Release : 2021
Genre :
Kind : eBook
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Book Synopsis Machine Learning and Causality by : Maggie Makar (Computer scientist)

Download or read book Machine Learning and Causality written by Maggie Makar (Computer scientist). This book was released on 2021. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We explore relationships between machine learning (ML) and causal inference. We focus on improvements in each by borrowing ideas from one another. ML has been successfully applied to many problems, but the lack of strong theoretical guarantees has led to many unexpected failures. Models that perform well on the training distribution tend to break down when applied to different distributions; small perturbations can "fool" the trained model and drastically change its predictions; arbitrary choices in the training algorithm lead to vastly different models; and so forth. On the other hand, while there has been tremendous progress in developing causal inference methods with strong theoretical guarantees, existing methods typically do not apply in practice since they assume an abundance of data. Working at the intersection of ML and causal inference, we directly address the lack of robustness in ML, and improve the statistical efficiency of causal inference techniques. The motivation behind the work presented in this thesis is to improve methods for building predictive, and causal models that are used to guide decision making. Throughout, we focus mostly on decision making in the healthcare context. On the ML for causality side, we use ML tools and analysis techniques to develop statistically efficient causal models that can guide clinicians when choosing between two treatments. On the causality for ML side, we study how knowledge of the causal mechanisms that generate observed data can be used to efficiently regularize predictive models without introducing biases. In a clinical context, we show how causal knowledge can be used to build robust, and accurate models to predict the spread of contagious infections. In a non-clinical setting, we study how to use causal knowledge to train models that are robust to distribution shifts in the context of image classification

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