Share

Predicting the Unpredictable

Download Predicting the Unpredictable PDF Online Free

Author :
Release : 2016-10-25
Genre : Science
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 547/5 ( reviews)

GET EBOOK


Book Synopsis Predicting the Unpredictable by : Susan Elizabeth Hough

Download or read book Predicting the Unpredictable written by Susan Elizabeth Hough. This book was released on 2016-10-25. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Why seismologists still can't predict earthquakes An earthquake can strike without warning and wreak horrific destruction and death, whether it's the catastrophic 2010 quake that took a devastating toll on the island nation of Haiti or a future great earthquake on the San Andreas Fault in California, which scientists know is inevitable. Yet despite rapid advances in earthquake science, seismologists still can’t predict when the Big One will hit. Predicting the Unpredictable explains why, exploring the fact and fiction behind the science—and pseudoscience—of earthquake prediction. Susan Hough traces the continuing quest by seismologists to forecast the time, location, and magnitude of future quakes. She brings readers into the laboratory and out into the field—describing attempts that have raised hopes only to collapse under scrutiny, as well as approaches that seem to hold future promise. She also ventures to the fringes of pseudoscience to consider ideas outside the scientific mainstream. An entertaining and accessible foray into the world of earthquake prediction, Predicting the Unpredictable illuminates the unique challenges of predicting earthquakes.

Rock Breaks Scissors

Download Rock Breaks Scissors PDF Online Free

Author :
Release : 2014-06-03
Genre : Psychology
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 087/5 ( reviews)

GET EBOOK


Book Synopsis Rock Breaks Scissors by : William Poundstone

Download or read book Rock Breaks Scissors written by William Poundstone. This book was released on 2014-06-03. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A practical guide to outguessing everything, from multiple-choice tests to the office football pool to the stock market. People are predictable even when they try not to be. William Poundstone demonstrates how to turn this fact to personal advantage in scores of everyday situations, from playing the lottery to buying a home. Rock Breaks Scissors is mind-reading for real life. Will the next tennis serve go right or left? Will the market go up or down? Most people are poor at that kind of predicting. We are hard-wired to make bum bets on "trends" and "winning streaks" that are illusions. Yet ultimately we're all in the business of anticipating the actions of others. Poundstone reveals how to overcome the errors and improve the accuracy of your own outguessing. Rock Breaks Scissors is a hands-on guide to turning life's odds in your favor.

The Physics of Wall Street

Download The Physics of Wall Street PDF Online Free

Author :
Release : 2013
Genre : Business & Economics
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 271/5 ( reviews)

GET EBOOK


Book Synopsis The Physics of Wall Street by : James Owen Weatherall

Download or read book The Physics of Wall Street written by James Owen Weatherall. This book was released on 2013. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A young scholar tells the story of the physicists and mathematicians who created the models that have become the basis of modern finance and argues that these models are the "solution" to--not the source of--our current economic woes.

The Physics of Finance

Download The Physics of Finance PDF Online Free

Author :
Release : 2013
Genre : Forecasting
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 392/5 ( reviews)

GET EBOOK


Book Synopsis The Physics of Finance by : James Owen Weatherall

Download or read book The Physics of Finance written by James Owen Weatherall. This book was released on 2013. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A book which reveals the people and ideas on the cusp of a new era in finance.

Software Estimation Without Guessing

Download Software Estimation Without Guessing PDF Online Free

Author :
Release : 2019-12-19
Genre : Computers
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 419/5 ( reviews)

GET EBOOK


Book Synopsis Software Estimation Without Guessing by : George Dinwiddie

Download or read book Software Estimation Without Guessing written by George Dinwiddie. This book was released on 2019-12-19. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Estimating software development often produces more angst than value, but it doesn't have to. Identify the needs behind estimate requests and determine how to meet those needs simply and easily. Choose estimation techniques based on current needs and available information, gaining benefit while reducing cost and effort. Detect bad assumptions that might sink your project if you don't adjust your plans. Discover what to do when an estimate is wrong, how to recover, and how to use that knowledge for future planning. Learn to communicate about estimates in a healthy and productive way, maximizing advantage to the organization and minimizing damage to the people. In a world where most developers hate estimation and most managers fear disappointment with the results, there is hope for both. It requires giving up some widely held misconceptions. Let go of the notion that "an estimate is an estimate" and estimate for the particular need you, and your organization, have. Realize that estimates have a limited shelf-life, and reestimate frequently if it's important. When reality differs from your estimate, don't lament; mine that disappointment for the gold that can be the longer-term jackpot. Estimate in comparison to past experience, by modeling the work mathematically, or a hybrid of both. Learn strategies for effective decomposition of work and aspects of the work that likely affect your estimates. Hedge your bets by comparing the results of different approaches. Find out what to do when an estimate proves wrong. And they will. They're estimates, after all. You'll discover that you can use estimates to warn you of danger so you can take appropriate action in time. Learn some crucial techniques to understand and communicate with those who need to understand. Address both the technical and sociological aspects of estimation, and you'll help your organization achieve its desired goals with less drama and more benefit. What You Need: No software needed, just your past experience and concern for the outcomes.

You may also like...