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Author : Paul van Hooft
Release : 2022
Genre :
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : /5 ( reviews)
Book Synopsis Pathways to Disaster: Russia's War Against Ukraine and the Risks of Inadvertent Nuclear Escalation by : Paul van Hooft
Download or read book Pathways to Disaster: Russia's War Against Ukraine and the Risks of Inadvertent Nuclear Escalation written by Paul van Hooft. This book was released on 2022. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Paul van Hooft
Release : 2023
Genre :
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : /5 ( reviews)
Book Synopsis Pathways to Disaster by : Paul van Hooft
Download or read book Pathways to Disaster written by Paul van Hooft. This book was released on 2023. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The brief’s main conclusions are concerning: there are an increasing number of pathways that could lead to inadvertent escalation. Russia’s expenditure of dual-capable missile stocks, the shifting balance of power in Europe to the advantage of NATO, and NATO’s enlargement bringing it closer to the Kola Peninsula increases the likelihood that Russia faces “use-it-or-lose-it” choices. The Russian armed forces have been overburdened and one could expect civil-military relations to be disturbed. The Russian military is offensively minded, with the nuclear class developing its own parochial ideology. Russian C3I systems are degraded through sanctions and direct attacks. Finally, Russia has launched attacks on Ukraine, and used dual-capable delivery systems, from the same locations as its nuclear arsenal. As NATO-Europe continues to support Ukraine, we suggest a series of measures to avoid inadvertent escalation. Among others, we stress that caution be taken with NATO’s nuclear and conventional posture, including the placement of conventional missiles within range of threatening Russia’s nuclear capabilities. The authors also argue that positive measures, such as military-to-military contacts, should be maintained.
Author : Bryan Frederick
Release : 2023-09-21
Genre : History
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 665/5 ( reviews)
Book Synopsis Escalation in the War in Ukraine by : Bryan Frederick
Download or read book Escalation in the War in Ukraine written by Bryan Frederick. This book was released on 2023-09-21. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This report evaluates the potential for further escalation in the war in Ukraine, including possible escalation to Russian nuclear use, to better inform U.S. and allied decisions and the public debate.
Author : Anthony M. Barrett
Release : 2016
Genre : Ballistic missiles
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : /5 ( reviews)
Book Synopsis False Alarms, True Dangers? by : Anthony M. Barrett
Download or read book False Alarms, True Dangers? written by Anthony M. Barrett. This book was released on 2016. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "In the post–Cold War era, it is tempting to see the threat of nuclear war between the United States and Russia as remote: Both nations' nuclear arsenals have shrunk since their Cold War peaks, and neither nation is actively threatening the other with war. A number of analysts, however, warn of the risk of an inadvertent nuclear conflict between the United States and Russia--that is, a conflict that begins when one nation misinterprets an event (such as a training exercise, a weather phenomenon, or a malfunction) as an indicator of a nuclear attack or a provocation. Understanding how miscalculations and misperceptions can lead to the use of nuclear weapons is an important step toward reducing the probability of an inadvertent nuclear conflict. At present, the United States does not appear to have a consistently used method for assessing the risk of inadvertent nuclear war. To address this gap, this report synthesizes key points from the literature on the pathways by which, and the conditions under which, misinterpretations could lead to a nuclear strike, either by U.S. or Russian forces. By shedding light on these risks, this report hopes to inform decisionmakers about measures that both nations can take to reduce the probability of an inadvertent nuclear conflict"--Publisher's description.
Author : Jeffrey A Larsen
Release : 2014-04-02
Genre : Political Science
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 914/5 ( reviews)
Book Synopsis On Limited Nuclear War in the 21st Century by : Jeffrey A Larsen
Download or read book On Limited Nuclear War in the 21st Century written by Jeffrey A Larsen. This book was released on 2014-04-02. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: These essays by nuclear policy experts provide “a speculative but serious and well-informed journey through a variety of scenarios and contingencies” (Foreign Affairs). Recent decades have seen a slow but steady increase in nuclear armed states, and in the seemingly less constrained policy goals of some of the newer “rogue” states in the international system. The authors of On Limited Nuclear War in the 21st Century argue that a time may come when one of these states makes the conscious decision that using a nuclear weapon against the United States, its allies, or forward deployed forces in the context of a crisis or a regional conventional conflict may be in its interests. They assert that we are unprepared for these types of limited nuclear wars and that it is urgent we rethink the theory, policy, and implementation of force related to our approaches to this type of engagement. Together they critique Cold War doctrine on limited nuclear war and consider a number of the key concepts that should govern our approach to limited nuclear conflict in the future. These include identifying the factors likely to lead to limited nuclear war; examining the geopolitics of future conflict scenarios that might lead to small-scale nuclear use; and assessing strategies for crisis management and escalation control. Finally, they consider a range of strategies and operational concepts for countering, controlling, or containing limited nuclear war. “A series of trenchant essays that deconstruct a critical national security challenge that most of us wish did not exist. Assembling a star-studded cast of scholars, analysts, and policy practitioners, Larsen and Kartchner have produced some of the most important new thinking on an old topic.” —H-Diplo
