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Megaproject Risk Analysis and Simulation

2017-04-28 Business & Economics
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Release : 2017-04-28
Genre : Business & Economics
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 301/5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis Megaproject Risk Analysis and Simulation by : Prince Boateng

Download or read book Megaproject Risk Analysis and Simulation written by Prince Boateng. This book was released on 2017-04-28. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Providing new knowledge on risk analysis and simulation for megaprojects, this book is essential reading for both academics and practitioners. Its focus is on technical descriptions of a newly developed dynamic systems approach to megaproject risk analysis and simulation.

Robust Simulation for Mega-Risks

2015
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Release : 2015
Genre :
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 141/5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis Robust Simulation for Mega-Risks by : Craig E. Taylor

Download or read book Robust Simulation for Mega-Risks written by Craig E. Taylor. This book was released on 2015. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book introduces a new way of analyzing, measuring and thinking about mega-risks, a "paradigm shift" that moves from single-solutions to multiple competitive solutions and strategies. "Robust simulation" is a statistical approach that demonstrates future risk through simulation of a suite of possible answers. To arrive at this point, the book systematically walks through the historical statistical methods for evaluating risks. The first chapters deal with three theories of probability and statistics that have been dominant in the 20th century, along with key mathematical issues and dilemmas. The book then introduces "robust simulation" which solves the problem of measuring the stability of simulated losses, incorporates outliers, and simulates future risk through a suite of possible answers and stochastic modeling of unknown variables. This book discusses various analytical methods for utilizing divergent solutions in making pragmatic financial and risk-mitigation decisions. The book emphasizes the importance of flexibility and attempts to demonstrate that alternative credible approaches are helpful and required in understanding a great many phenomena. .

Megaprojects and Risk

2003-02-13 Business & Economics
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Release : 2003-02-13
Genre : Business & Economics
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 461/5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis Megaprojects and Risk by : Bent Flyvbjerg

Download or read book Megaprojects and Risk written by Bent Flyvbjerg. This book was released on 2003-02-13. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Megaprojects and Risk provides the first detailed examination of the phenomenon of megaprojects. It is a fascinating account of how the promoters of multi-billion dollar megaprojects systematically and self-servingly misinform parliaments, the public and the media in order to get projects approved and built. It shows, in unusual depth, how the formula for approval is an unhealthy cocktail of underestimated costs, overestimated revenues, undervalued environmental impacts and overvalued economic development effects. This results in projects that are extremely risky, but where the risk is concealed from MPs, taxpayers and investors. The authors not only explore the problems but also suggest practical solutions drawing on theory, experience and hard, scientific evidence from the several hundred projects in twenty nations and five continents that illustrate the book. Accessibly written, it will be the standard reference for students, scholars, planners, economists, auditors, politicians and interested citizens for many years to come.

Megaproject Management

2013-06-21 Business & Economics
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Release : 2013-06-21
Genre : Business & Economics
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 341/5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis Megaproject Management by : Virginia A. Greiman

Download or read book Megaproject Management written by Virginia A. Greiman. This book was released on 2013-06-21. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Project management lessons learned on the Big Dig, America's biggest megaproject, by a core member responsible for its daily operations In Megaproject Management, a central member of the Big Dig team reveals the numerous risks, challenges, and accomplishments of the most complex urban infrastructure project in the history of the United States. Drawing on personal experience and interviews with project engineers, executive oversight commission officials, and core managers, the author, a former deputy counsel and risk manager for the Big Dig, develops new insights as she describes the realities of day-to-day management of the project from a project manager's perspective. The book incorporates both theory and practice and is therefore highly recommended to policymakers, academics, and project management practitioners. Focusing on lessons learned, this insightful coursebook presents the Big Dig as a massive case study in the management of risk, cost, and schedule, particularly the interrelation of technical, legal, political, and social factors. It provides an analysis of the difficulties in managing megaprojects during each phase and over the life span of the project, while delivering useful lessons on why projects go wrong and what can be done to prevent project failure. It also offers new ideas to enhance project management performance and innovation in our global society. This unique guide: Defines megaproject characteristics and frameworks Reviews the Big Dig's history, stakeholders, and governance Examines the project's management scope, scheduling, and cost management including project delays and cost overruns Analyzes the Big Dig's risk management and quality management Reveals how to build a sustainable project through integration and change introduction

Integrated Cost-Schedule Risk Analysis

2012-09-28 Business & Economics
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Release : 2012-09-28
Genre : Business & Economics
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 101/5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis Integrated Cost-Schedule Risk Analysis by : Dr David Hulett

Download or read book Integrated Cost-Schedule Risk Analysis written by Dr David Hulett. This book was released on 2012-09-28. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Project managers tend to believe their cost estimates - whether they have exceeded budgets in the past or not. It is dangerous to accept the engineering cost estimates, which are often optimistic or unrealistic. Though cost estimates incorporate contingency reserves below-the-line, these estimates of reserves often do not benefit from a rigorous assessment of risk to project costs. Risks to cost come from multiple sources including uncertain project duration, which is often ignored in cost risk analyses. In short, experience shows that cost estimating on projects is rarely successful - cost overruns routinely occur. There are effective ways to estimate the impact on the cost of complex projects from project risks of all types, including traditional cost-type risks and the indirect but often substantial impact from risks usually thought of as affecting project schedules. Integrated cost-schedule risk anlaysis helps us determine how likely the project will go over budget with the current plan, how much contingency reserve is required to achieve a desired level of certainty, and which risks are most important so the project manager can mitigate them and achieve a better result. Integrated Cost-Schedule Risk Analysis provides solutions for these and other challenges. This book follows on from David Hulett's highly-praised Practical Schedule Risk Analysis. It focuses on the way that schedule risk can generate cost risk, and how to handle this relationship. It also applies the Risk Driver Method to the analysis so that you can clearly and transparently identify the key risks, rather than just the most risky cost line items. With detailed worked examples and over 70 illustrations, Integrated Cost-Schedule Risk Analysis offers the definitive guide to this critically important aspect of project management from surely the world's leading commentator.

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