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Global House Price Fluctuations

2013-02-06 Business & Economics
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Release : 2013-02-06
Genre : Business & Economics
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 608/5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis Global House Price Fluctuations by : Mr.Hideaki Hirata

Download or read book Global House Price Fluctuations written by Mr.Hideaki Hirata. This book was released on 2013-02-06. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We examine the properties of house price fluctuations across 18 advanced economies over the past 40 years. We ask two specific questions: First, how synchronized are housing cycles across these countries? Second, what are the main shocks driving movements in global house prices? To address these questions, we first estimate the global components in house prices and various macroeconomic and financial variables. We then evaluate the roles played by a variety of global shocks, including shocks to interest rates, monetary policy, productivity, credit, and uncertainty, in explaining house price fluctuations using a wide range of FAVAR models. We find that house prices are synchronized across countries, and the degree of synchronization has increased over time. Global interest rate shocks tend to have a significant negative effect on global house prices whereas global monetary policy shocks per se do not appear to have a sizeable impact. Interestingly, uncertainty shocks seem to be important in explaining fluctuations in global house prices.

Global House Price Fluctuations

2012 Economics
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Release : 2012
Genre : Economics
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : /5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis Global House Price Fluctuations by : Hideaki Hirata

Download or read book Global House Price Fluctuations written by Hideaki Hirata. This book was released on 2012. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We examine the properties of house price fluctuations across eighteen advanced economies over the past forty years. We ask two specific questions: First, how synchronized are housing cycles across these countries? Second, what are the main shocks driving movements in global house prices? To address these questions, we first estimate the global components in house prices and various macroeconomic and financial variables. We then evaluate the roles played by a variety of global shocks, including shocks to interest rates, monetary policy, productivity, credit, and uncertainty, in explaining house price fluctuations using a wide range of FAVAR models. We find that house prices are synchronized across countries, and the degree of synchronization has increased over time. Global interest rate shocks tend to have a significant negative effect on global house prices whereas global monetary policy shocks per se do not appear to have a sizeable impact. Interestingly, uncertainty shocks seem to be important in explaining fluctuations in global house prices -- National Bureau of Economic Research web site.

Global Housing Cycles

2012-08-01 Business & Economics
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Release : 2012-08-01
Genre : Business & Economics
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 671/5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis Global Housing Cycles by : Ms.Deniz Igan

Download or read book Global Housing Cycles written by Ms.Deniz Igan. This book was released on 2012-08-01. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Housing cycles and their impact on the financial system and the macroeconomy have become the center of attention following the global financial crisis. This paper documents the characteristics of housing cycles in a large set of countries, and examines the determinants of house price movements. Empirical analysis shows that house price dynamics are mostly driven by income and demographics but fluctuations in these fundamentals and credit conditions can create deviations from the implied equilibrium path. We conclude with a discussion of the macroeconomic implications of house price corrections.

International House Prices and Macroeconomic Fluctuations

2013
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Release : 2013
Genre :
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Book Synopsis International House Prices and Macroeconomic Fluctuations by : Andrea Beltratti

Download or read book International House Prices and Macroeconomic Fluctuations written by Andrea Beltratti. This book was released on 2013. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper investigates linkages between general macroeconomic conditions and the housing market for the G-7 area. Among the key results of the paper, it is found that the US are an important source of global fluctuations not only for real activity, nominal variables and stock prices, but also for housing prices. Yet, also regional factors may be relevant to account for house prices dynamics. Secondly, albeit distinct driving forces for real activity and financial factors can be pointed out, sizeable global interactions can be found. In particular, global supply-side shocks are found to be important determinant of G-7 house prices fluctuations. The linkage between housing prices and macroeconomic developments is however bidirectional, since evidence of significant wealth effects can be found, with investment showing in general a stronger reaction than consumption and output.

Global Liquidity, House Prices, and the Macroeconomy

2015-01-29 Business & Economics
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Release : 2015-01-29
Genre : Business & Economics
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 936/5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis Global Liquidity, House Prices, and the Macroeconomy by : Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi

Download or read book Global Liquidity, House Prices, and the Macroeconomy written by Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi. This book was released on 2015-01-29. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper we first compare house price cycles in advanced and emerging economies using a new quarterly house price data set covering the period 1990-2012. We find that house prices in emerging economies grow faster, are more volatile, less persistent and less synchronized across countries than in advanced economies. We also find that they correlate with capital flows more closely than in advanced economies. We then condition the analysis on an exogenous change to a particular component of capital flows. We find that a global liquidity shock, identified by aggregating bank-to-bank cross border flows and by using the external instrumental variable approach of Stock and Watson (2012) and Mertens and Ravn (2013), has a much stronger impact on house prices and consumption in emerging markets than in advanced economies. In our empirical model, holding house prices or the exchange rate constant in response to this shock tends to dampen its effects on consumption in emerging economies.

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