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Forecasting in Mathematics

2021-01-27 Computers
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Release : 2021-01-27
Genre : Computers
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 256/5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis Forecasting in Mathematics by : Abdo Abou Jaoude

Download or read book Forecasting in Mathematics written by Abdo Abou Jaoude. This book was released on 2021-01-27. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Mathematical probability and statistics are an attractive, thriving, and respectable part of mathematics. Some mathematicians and philosophers of science say they are the gateway to mathematics’ deepest mysteries. Moreover, mathematical statistics denotes an accumulation of mathematical discussions connected with efforts to most efficiently collect and use numerical data subject to random or deterministic variations. Currently, the concept of probability and mathematical statistics has become one of the fundamental notions of modern science and the philosophy of nature. This book is an illustration of the use of mathematics to solve specific problems in engineering, statistics, and science in general.

Introduction to Financial Forecasting in Investment Analysis

2013-01-04 Business & Economics
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Release : 2013-01-04
Genre : Business & Economics
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 392/5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis Introduction to Financial Forecasting in Investment Analysis by : John B. Guerard, Jr.

Download or read book Introduction to Financial Forecasting in Investment Analysis written by John B. Guerard, Jr.. This book was released on 2013-01-04. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Forecasting—the art and science of predicting future outcomes—has become a crucial skill in business and economic analysis. This volume introduces the reader to the tools, methods, and techniques of forecasting, specifically as they apply to financial and investing decisions. With an emphasis on "earnings per share" (eps), the author presents a data-oriented text on financial forecasting, understanding financial data, assessing firm financial strategies (such as share buybacks and R&D spending), creating efficient portfolios, and hedging stock portfolios with financial futures. The opening chapters explain how to understand economic fluctuations and how the stock market leads the general economic trend; introduce the concept of portfolio construction and how movements in the economy influence stock price movements; and introduce the reader to the forecasting process, including exponential smoothing and time series model estimations. Subsequent chapters examine the composite index of leading economic indicators (LEI); review financial statement analysis and mean-variance efficient portfolios; and assess the effectiveness of analysts’ earnings forecasts. Using data from such firms as Intel, General Electric, and Hitachi, Guerard demonstrates how forecasting tools can be applied to understand the business cycle, evaluate market risk, and demonstrate the impact of global stock selection modeling and portfolio construction.

Bayesian Forecasting and Dynamic Models

2013-06-29 Mathematics
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Release : 2013-06-29
Genre : Mathematics
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 650/5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis Bayesian Forecasting and Dynamic Models by : Mike West

Download or read book Bayesian Forecasting and Dynamic Models written by Mike West. This book was released on 2013-06-29. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this book we are concerned with Bayesian learning and forecast ing in dynamic environments. We describe the structure and theory of classes of dynamic models, and their uses in Bayesian forecasting. The principles, models and methods of Bayesian forecasting have been developed extensively during the last twenty years. This devel opment has involved thorough investigation of mathematical and sta tistical aspects of forecasting models and related techniques. With this has come experience with application in a variety of areas in commercial and industrial, scientific and socio-economic fields. In deed much of the technical development has been driven by the needs of forecasting practitioners. As a result, there now exists a relatively complete statistical and mathematical framework, although much of this is either not properly documented or not easily accessible. Our primary goals in writing this book have been to present our view of this approach to modelling and forecasting, and to provide a rea sonably complete text for advanced university students and research workers. The text is primarily intended for advanced undergraduate and postgraduate students in statistics and mathematics. In line with this objective we present thorough discussion of mathematical and statistical features of Bayesian analyses of dynamic models, with illustrations, examples and exercises in each Chapter.

Mathematical Problems and Methods of Hydrodynamic Weather Forecasting

2000-09-20 Mathematics
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Release : 2000-09-20
Genre : Mathematics
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 412/5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis Mathematical Problems and Methods of Hydrodynamic Weather Forecasting by : Vladimir Gordin

Download or read book Mathematical Problems and Methods of Hydrodynamic Weather Forecasting written by Vladimir Gordin. This book was released on 2000-09-20. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The material provides an historical background to forecasting developments as well as introducing recent advances. The book will be of interest to both mathematicians and physicians, the topics covered include equations of dynamical meteorology, first integrals, non-linear stability, well-posedness of boundary problems, non-smooth solutions, parame

Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting

2015-08 Forecasting
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Release : 2015-08
Genre : Forecasting
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 913/5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting by : Lavra Filipek

Download or read book Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting written by Lavra Filipek. This book was released on 2015-08. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A time series is a collection of data recorded over a period of timeweekly, monthly, quarterly, or yearly. Forecasting the level of sales, both short-term and long-term, is practically dictated by the very nature of business organizations. Competition for the consumer's dollar, stress on earning a profit for the stockholders, a desire to procure a larger share of the market, and the ambitions of executives are some of the prime motivating forces in business. Thus, a forecast is necessary to have the raw materials, production facilities, and staff available to meet the projected demand. Time series analysis can be applied to real-valued, continuous data, discrete numeric data, or discrete symbolic. Analyzing time oriented data and forecasting future values of a time series are among the most important problems that analysis face in many fields ranging from finance and economics to managing production operations. The emphasis of this book is on time series analysis and forecasting. This book is intended for practitioners who make real world forecasts. Time series analysis has got attention of many researches from different fields, such as business administration, economics, public finances. Forecasting is an important activity in economics, commerce, marketing and various branches of science. This book, Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting, is concerned with forecasting methods based on the use of time-series analysis. It is primarily intended as a reference source for practitioners and researchers in forecasting, who could, for example, be statisticians, econometricians, operational researchers, management scientists or decision scientists.

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