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Econometric Essays on Structural Change and Factor Models with Macroeconomic Applications

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Release : 2009
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Book Synopsis Econometric Essays on Structural Change and Factor Models with Macroeconomic Applications by : Yohei Yamamoto

Download or read book Econometric Essays on Structural Change and Factor Models with Macroeconomic Applications written by Yohei Yamamoto. This book was released on 2009. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Abstract: Structural break and factor models have recently been active research areas in time series econometrics. Over the last fifteen years, growing attention has been paid to estimating and testing for multiple structural changes with unknown change points in both theoretical and applied research. Also, estimation and inferential methods for factor models with many observations have received increasing attention. In this dissertation, I make further theoretical contributions in these areas and present empirical macroeconomic applications. In chapter one, I re-examine the relevance of asymptotic optimality criteria in the context of testing for structural break. I critically evaluate Elliott and Müller (2006), who derived a so-called optimal test against the alternative of general parameter variation. However, their framework is based on the assumption that the variation of the parameter process goes to zero at a fast rate. As documented by Kim and Perron (2007), the relative asymptotic efficiency among structural break tests can be different when using the approximate Bahadur slope as the efficiency criterion. Using this measure, I show that the simple Sup-Wald test dominates the Elliott and Müller (2006) test, both in terms of the asymptotic Bahadur efficiency and the finite sample performance. In chapter two, I consider the problem of estimating and testing multiple structural breaks in linear models with endogenous regressors. Based on the results of Perron and Qu (2006), I provide a concise proof of the consistency of the break date estimates obtained via the instrumental variable (IV) method. More importantly, I show that using a method based on ordinary least squares leads to more efficient estimates and more powerful tests compared to using IV procedures when endogeneity is present. In chapter three, I investigate inference problems in factor models in the context of factor-augmented vector autoregressions (FAVAR). I consider identification problems in models with latent processes and propose a bootstrap procedure with factor re-estimation. It is shown to provide improvements over the commonly used bootstrap method suggested by Bernanke, Boivin and Eliasz (2005).

Essays in Macroeconomics and Dynamic Factor Models

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Release : 2013
Genre : Business cycles
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Book Synopsis Essays in Macroeconomics and Dynamic Factor Models by : Ziyi Guo

Download or read book Essays in Macroeconomics and Dynamic Factor Models written by Ziyi Guo. This book was released on 2013. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Structural Change in Macroeconomic Models

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Release : 2012-12-06
Genre : Business & Economics
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 709/5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis Structural Change in Macroeconomic Models by : M.J. Vilares

Download or read book Structural Change in Macroeconomic Models written by M.J. Vilares. This book was released on 2012-12-06. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book grew out of a 'Doctorat D'Etat' thesis presented at the University of Dijon-Institut Mathematique Economiques (lME). It aims to show that quantity rationing theory provides the means of improving macroeconometric modelling in the study of struc tural changes. The empirical results presented in the last chapter (concerning Portuguese economy) and in the last Appendix (con cerning the French economy), although preliminary, suggested that the effort is rewarding and should be continued. My debts are many. An important part of the research work was accomplished during my visit to the Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques (lNSEE, Paris), where I have beneficted from stimulating discussions (particularly with P. Villa) and infor matical support. I have also received comments and suggestions from R. Quandt, J.-J. Laffont, P. Kooiman and P.-Y. Henin. I am specially indebted to P. Balestra for encouraging and valuable discussions, particularly in the field of econometric methods. My thanks go also to an anonymous referee. His constructive criticism and suggestions resulted in a number of improvements to an earlier version of this book. I cannot forget my friend A. Costa from BP A (Porto) who has helped me in the preparation of this work. Last but not least, I would like to thank my wife for her encouragement and patience throughout these years. Of course, I am the only one responsible for any remaining errors.

Dynamic Modeling, Empirical Macroeconomics, and Finance

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Release : 2016-10-03
Genre : Business & Economics
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 873/5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis Dynamic Modeling, Empirical Macroeconomics, and Finance by : Lucas Bernard

Download or read book Dynamic Modeling, Empirical Macroeconomics, and Finance written by Lucas Bernard. This book was released on 2016-10-03. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This edited volume, with contributions by area experts, offers discussions on a range of evolving topics in economics and social development. At center are important issues central to sustainable development, economic growth, technological change, the economics of climate change, commodity markets, long wave theory, non-linear dynamic models, and boom-bust cycles. This is an excellent reference for academic and professional economists interested in emerging areas of empirical macroeconomics and finance. For policy makers and curious readers alike, it is also an outstanding introduction to the economic thinking of those who seek a holistic and all-compassing approach in economic theory and policy. Looking into new data and methodology, this book offers fresh approaches in a post-crisis environment. Set in a profound understanding of the diverse currents within the many traditions of economic thought, this book pushes the established frontiers of economic thinking. It is dedicated to a leading scholar in the areas covered in this book, Willi Semmler.

Three Essays in Econometrics

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Release : 2020
Genre : Econometrics
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Book Synopsis Three Essays in Econometrics by : Chaojun Li (Economist)

Download or read book Three Essays in Econometrics written by Chaojun Li (Economist). This book was released on 2020. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Regime-switching models have been applied extensively to study how time-series patterns change across different underlying economic states, such as boom and recession, high-volatility and low-volatility financial market environments, and active and passive monetary and fiscal policies. Among various models with regime switching, endogenous regime-switching models have the most general form of the regime process by allowing the determination of regimes to depend on the realizations of observations. The first chapter, jointly written with Yan Liu, proves consistency and asymptotic normality of the maximum likelihood estimator of the endogenous regime-switching models. The dynamic pattern of a time series may change abruptly as the underlying economic environment shifts and, at the same time, may also vary smoothly with other macroeconomic variables. The Markov-switching state-space model accommodates the two types of changes. For this class of models, it is computationally infeasible to calculate the exact likelihood function through the Kalman filter because of the path dependence on regimes. Approximation is widely applied in practice by truncating the path of regimes, but the statistical properties of the estimator based on approximation have not been examined. The second chapter fills the gap and shows consistency and asymptotic normality of the approximated maximum likelihood estimator. In the "big data" era, the large-dimensional factor model proves useful in extracting information from high-dimensional time series, by assuming a small number of factors can summarize the co-movement. In the third chapter, I propose a new method to estimate large-dimensional factor models with two types of structural breaks--in factor loadings and in the number of factors. Such breaks, if undetected, can lead to the estimation of pseudo factors instead of true factors. Compared to the existing method in the literature, the proposed method is computationally faster. Moreover, the estimated break ratios converge at a faster rate.

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