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Demographic Projection Techniques for Regions and Smaller Areas

1995 Political Science
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Release : 1995
Genre : Political Science
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 018/5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis Demographic Projection Techniques for Regions and Smaller Areas by : H. Craig Davis

Download or read book Demographic Projection Techniques for Regions and Smaller Areas written by H. Craig Davis. This book was released on 1995. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In Chapter 3, the author outlines a four-step projection procedure which is used throughout the remainder of the book. Chapter 4 describes how to project population size by comparing the growth pattern of the population under study with that of another population. The next chapter covers one of the most commonly employed techniques of population projection - the cohort-survival model, which is used not only to project the size of a population but also its composition in terms of age and sex groupings. The final chapter focuses on migration, generally the most volatile component of the basic demographic equation. Primarily written for courses in planning, this book is also useful for anyone having to make decisions affected by population trends, whether they involve planning for future growth or alerting local decisionmakers to external uncertainties that could have a serious impact on the future of their community.

Demographic projection techniques for regions and small areas

1994
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Release : 1994
Genre :
Kind : eBook
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Book Synopsis Demographic projection techniques for regions and small areas by : H. C. Davis

Download or read book Demographic projection techniques for regions and small areas written by H. C. Davis. This book was released on 1994. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

State and Local Population Projections

2005-12-21 Social Science
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Release : 2005-12-21
Genre : Social Science
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 720/5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis State and Local Population Projections by : Stanley K. Smith

Download or read book State and Local Population Projections written by Stanley K. Smith. This book was released on 2005-12-21. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The initial plans for this book sprang from a late-afternoon conversation in a hotel bar. All three authors were attending the 1996 meeting of the Population As- ciation of America in New Orleans. While nursing drinks and expounding on a variety of topics, we began talking about our current research projects. It so happened that all three of us had been entertaining the notion of writing a book on state and local population projections. Recognizing the enormity of the project for a single author, we quickly decided to collaborate. Had we not decided to work together, it is unlikely that this book ever would have been written. The last comprehensive treatment of state and local population projections was Don Pittenger’s excellent work Projecting State and Local Populations (1976). Many changes affecting the production of population projections have occurred since that time. Technological changes have led to vast increases in computing power, new data sources, the development of GIS, and the creation of the Internet. The procedures for applying a number of projection methods have changed considerably, and several completely new methods have been developed.

A Practitioner's Guide to State and Local Population Projections

2013-12-16 Social Science
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Release : 2013-12-16
Genre : Social Science
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 512/5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis A Practitioner's Guide to State and Local Population Projections by : Stanley K. Smith

Download or read book A Practitioner's Guide to State and Local Population Projections written by Stanley K. Smith. This book was released on 2013-12-16. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book focuses on the methodology and analysis of state and local population projections. It describes the most commonly used data sources and application techniques for four types of projection methods: cohort-component, trend extrapolation, structural models, and microsimulation. It covers the components of population growth, sources of data, the formation of assumptions, the development of evaluation criteria, and the determinants of forecast accuracy. It considers the strengths and weaknesses of various projection methods and pays special attention to the unique problems that characterize small-area projections. The authors provide practical guidance to demographers, planners, market analysts, and others called on to construct state and local population projections. They use many examples and illustrations and present suggestions for dealing with special populations, unique circumstances, and inadequate or unreliable data. They describe techniques for controlling one set of projections to another, for interpolating between time points, for sub-dividing age groups, and for constructing projections of population-related variables (e.g., school enrollment, households). They discuss the role of judgment and the importance of the political context in which projections are made. They emphasize the “utility” of projections, or their usefulness for decision making in a world of competing demands and limited resources. This comprehensive book will provide readers with an understanding not only of the mechanics of the most commonly used population projection methods, but also of the many complex issues affecting their construction, interpretation, evaluation, and use.​

An Evaluation of Small Area Population Estimation and Projection Techniques

1966 Population forecasting
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Release : 1966
Genre : Population forecasting
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Book Synopsis An Evaluation of Small Area Population Estimation and Projection Techniques by : Shun-jong Lee

Download or read book An Evaluation of Small Area Population Estimation and Projection Techniques written by Shun-jong Lee. This book was released on 1966. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

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