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An International Comparison of Generational Accounts

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Release : 1998
Genre : Budget deficits
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : /5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis An International Comparison of Generational Accounts by : Laurence J. Kotlikoff

Download or read book An International Comparison of Generational Accounts written by Laurence J. Kotlikoff. This book was released on 1998. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper summarizes findings reported in a forthcoming NBER volume entitled 'Generational Accounting Around the World.' This volume includes generational accounting studies for 17 countries. The findings are shocking. The world's leading industrial powers - the U.S., Japan, and Germany - all have severe imbalances in their generational policies. Unless currently living members of these countries pay more in net taxes or unless these countries cut their purchases of goods and services, future Americans, Japanese and Germans will face much higher rates of lifetime net taxation. Leaving current Americans untouched and maintaining the current projected time-path of government purchases will leave future Americans collectively facing about 50% higher net tax rates over their lifetimes than those facing a newborn American based on current U.S. tax-transfer policy. For future Germans, the imbalance means they would face lifetime net tax rates that are roughly twice as high as those now in place. And for future Japanese, policy inaction means lifetime net tax rates that are more than 2.5 times are high as current values. Other countries are also running imbalanced policies. Of the 17 countries studied here, five (Japan, Italy, Germany, The Netherlands, and Brazil) have extreme imbalances. Another five (the United States, Norway, Portugal, Argentina and Belgium) have severe imbalances. Three countries - Australia, Denmark and France - have substantial imbalances. Canada's appears to be essentially in generational balance. The remaining countries - New Zealand, Thailand, and Sweden - have negative imbalances; i.e. their policies, if maintained, would leave future generations facing lower lifetime net tax rates than current current newborns

Generational Accounting around the World

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Release : 2007-12-01
Genre : Business & Economics
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 183/5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis Generational Accounting around the World by : Alan J. Auerbach

Download or read book Generational Accounting around the World written by Alan J. Auerbach. This book was released on 2007-12-01. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The realities of mounting government debt, tax burdens, and an aging population raise serious concerns about the financial legacy confronting future generations. How great a fiscal burden will current policies leave to subsequent generations, and how might changes in those policies alter the intergenerational distribution of public welfare? Generational accounting has recently emerged as a robust new method of fiscal analysis and planning designed to assess the long-term sustainability of fiscal policy and to measure the extent of the financial load ultimately borne by present and future generations. A seminal contribution to public economics, generational accounting has already been adopted by 23 nations around the world. Combining the latest and most extensive country-by-country generational analyses with a comprehensive review of generational accounting's innovative methodology, these papers are a consummate resource for economists, political scientists, and policy makers concerned with fiscal health and responsibility.

Demography and Social Health Insurance

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Release : 2008
Genre : Health & Fitness
Kind : eBook
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Book Synopsis Demography and Social Health Insurance by : Christian Hagist

Download or read book Demography and Social Health Insurance written by Christian Hagist. This book was released on 2008. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Most of the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries will face an ageing process of their populations over the next four decades. However, these processes differ considerably among the different countries. This book analyzes how the demographic changes affect the social health insurance systems and their finances in six selected OECD countries - namely Austria, France, Germany, Switzerland, the UK, and the US - over the long run, using the method of generational accounting. A focus is also set on the fiscal consequences of the medical/technical progress. It can be stated that all analyzed programs will have discrepancies between their expected revenues and transfer payments. The demographic component is only the minor part given that the medical/technical progress will occur in the future like it did over the last three decades. However, the growth rate due, to the medical/technical progress, also differs significantly between the analyzed countries. The book concludes that all systems will have to face rigorous reforms.

Generational Accounting for France

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Release : 1998-02-01
Genre : Social Science
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 097/5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis Generational Accounting for France by : Mr.Ousmane Dore

Download or read book Generational Accounting for France written by Mr.Ousmane Dore. This book was released on 1998-02-01. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper presents the first set of generational accounts prepared for France, illustrating the impact on different generations of current policy settings. It was developed using age profiles of taxes and transfers drawn from a 1990 survey and recent demographic projections. The results reported suggest that if all living generations were protected from future policy changes, current policy rules would imply a net tax burden on future generations more than 11⁄2 times as large as that on current newborn generations. If the assumption that young living generations are protected is relaxed, a large net-tax imbalance in favor of “babyboomers” emerges.

Population Aging and the Generational Economy

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Release : 2011-01-01
Genre : Social Science
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 583/5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis Population Aging and the Generational Economy by : Ronald Demos Lee

Download or read book Population Aging and the Generational Economy written by Ronald Demos Lee. This book was released on 2011-01-01. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 'While there already exists a crowded body of publications addressing the effect of an aging population on the economy, this monograph is most outstanding in presenting a global, in-depth analysis of the implications thereby generated for 23 developed and developing countries. . . Scholars, researchers, and practitioners everywhere will benefit immensely from this comprehensive work.' – H.I. Liebling, Choice 'Ron Lee and Andrew Mason's Population Aging and the Generational Economy is a demographic and economic tour-de-force. Their collaborative, intercontinental. . . study of aging, consumption, labor supply, saving, and private and public transfers is the place to go to understand global aging and its myriad and significant economic challenges and opportunities.' – Laurence Kotlikoff, Boston University, US 'The culmination of. . . work by Lee, Mason, and their collaborators from around the world to extend Samuelson's framework to accommodate realistic demography, empirical measurement of age-specific earnings, consumption, tax payments, and benefit receipts, the studies. . . demonstrate the power of this integrated economic-demographic framework to advance our understanding of critical public policy challenges faced by countries at different stages of demographic transition and population aging.' – Robert Willis, University of Michigan, US 'Lee and Mason have done scholars and practitioners a magnificent service by undertaking this comprehensive, compelling, and supremely innovative examination of the economic consequences of changes in population age structure. The book is a bona fide crystal ball. It will be a MUST READ for the next decade!' – David Bloom, Harvard School of Public Health, US 'Population Aging and the Generational Economy provides an encompassing account of what we know about population aging and the impact that this process will have on our economies. It does not confine itself to the advanced industrial countries, where aging has already been largely studied, but adopts a truly global perspective. I am sure it will become a key reference for researchers, students and those involved in policy-making in areas that are affected by population aging.' – Giuliano Bonoli, Swiss Graduate School of Public Administration (IDHEAP), Switzerland Over coming decades, changes in population age structure will have profound implications for the macroeconomy, influencing economic growth, generational equity, human capital, saving and investment, and the sustainability of public and private transfer systems. How the future unfolds will depend on key actors in the generational economy: governments, families, financial institutions, and others. This path-breaking book provides a comprehensive analysis of the macroeconomic effects of changes in population age structure across the globe. The result of a substantial seven-year research project involving over 50 economists and demographers from Africa, Asia, Europe, Latin America, and the United States, the book draws on a new and comprehensive conceptual framework – National Transfer Accounts – to quantify the economic lifecycle and economic flows across generations. It presents comprehensive estimates of both public and private economic flows between generations, and emphasizes the global nature of changes in population age structure that are affecting rich and poor countries alike. This unique and informative book will prove an invaluable reference tool for a wide-ranging audience encompassing students, researchers, and academics in fields such as demography, aging, public finance, economic development, macroeconomics, gerontology, and national income accounting; for policy-makers and advisers focusing on areas of the public sector such as education, health, pensions, other social security programs, tax policy, and public debt; and for policy analysts at international agencies such as the World Bank, the IMF, and the UN.

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