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An Empirical Investigation Into Volume-Based Price Momentum Strategy in Indian Stock Market

2016
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Release : 2016
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Book Synopsis An Empirical Investigation Into Volume-Based Price Momentum Strategy in Indian Stock Market by : Martin Bernard

Download or read book An Empirical Investigation Into Volume-Based Price Momentum Strategy in Indian Stock Market written by Martin Bernard. This book was released on 2016. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study examines the profitability of volume-based price momentum strategies for equities included in BSE-100 index from 2004 to 2012. It is an attempt to investigate whether there exist any relationship between momentum profits and historical trading volume in the immediate horizon. To measure the effectiveness of volume-based price momentum strategies in the immediate horizon we adopted the methodology used by Lee and Swaminathan (2000) and Naughton et al. (2008). The performance of Volume-based winners and losers portfolios were analysed in Indian context for eight years. Our results show that historical trading volume has no role in boosting the magnitude of momentum return. However, the analysis of the results indicates that winners portfolios have higher turnover than their counterparts. Finally, by testing the relationship between two informational apparatus used by technicians, i.e. volume and price, we could not find any substantive evidence of strong relationship between them, there by subscribing to the weak form of efficiency of Indian stock market.

The Empirical Investigation of Relationship Between Return, Volume & Volatility in Indian Stock Market

2016
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Release : 2016
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Book Synopsis The Empirical Investigation of Relationship Between Return, Volume & Volatility in Indian Stock Market by : Gurmeet Singh

Download or read book The Empirical Investigation of Relationship Between Return, Volume & Volatility in Indian Stock Market written by Gurmeet Singh. This book was released on 2016. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates the empirical relationship between return, volume and volatility dynamics of stock market by using data of the NIFTY index of NSE during the period from Jan 2007 to March 2014. The volatility in the Indian stock market exhibits characteristics similar to those found earlier in many of the major developed and emerging stock markets. It is shown that ARCH family models outperform the conventional OLS models. We find that, the TARCH model is better fit, when we compare the GARCH, EGARCH and TARCH models, on the basis of AIC and SC criteria. Causality from volatility to volume can be seen as some evidence that new information arrival might follow a sequential rather than a simultaneous process. Moreover, in the GARCH model, ARCH and GARCH effects remain significant, which highlights the inefficiency in the market. In addition, EGARCH and TARCH models indicate the presence of leverage effect and positive impact of volatility on returns. Finally, the findings of granger causality test records the evidence of one way causality from volatility to trading volume and from return to volume.

Momentum Trading on the Indian Stock Market

2013-03-27 Business & Economics
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Release : 2013-03-27
Genre : Business & Economics
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 278/5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis Momentum Trading on the Indian Stock Market by : Gagari Chakrabarti

Download or read book Momentum Trading on the Indian Stock Market written by Gagari Chakrabarti. This book was released on 2013-03-27. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study is an exploration of the Indian stock market, focusing on the possible presence of momentum trading. One thing, however, should be noted. While it is true that momentum trading, which tends to generate speculative bubbles, may result in a financial market crash, its nature in contrast might depend on the nature of the economy itself. The study, while exploring the presence and nature of momentum trading on the Indian stock market in recent years, seeks to relate it to significant structural breaks in the Indian or global economy. To be precise, it outlines a potential correlation between the instability in the stock market and the speculative trading on the market, exploring the question of whether it is human psychology that drives financial markets. In the process, the choice of a significant structural break has been obvious: the global financial meltdown of 2007-2008 – a crisis that has often been referred to as the worst ever since the crash of 1929. While analyzing the nature of momentum trading on the Indian stock market with regard to the financial crisis of 2007-08, the study takes into account two major representatives of the market, the BSE (Bombay Stock Index) and NSE (National Stock Index), for the period 2005 to 2012. This study seeks to answer a few important questions. First of all, it tries to unveil the underlying structure of the market. In doing so, it examines the following issues: (i) What was the latent structure of the Indian stock market leading up to the crisis of 2007-08? Does the structure offer insights into designing profitable trading strategies? (ii) Is it possible to construct a profitable portfolio on the Indian stock market? (iii) Is there any profitable trading strategy on the Indian stock market? While exploring these issues, the study delves deeper, breaking the whole period down into two sub-periods, before the crisis of 2008 and after the crisis. The purpose of this division is to determine whether there has been any discernible change in the market structure since the shock.

Equity Markets in India

2016-05-06 Business & Economics
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Release : 2016-05-06
Genre : Business & Economics
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 68X/5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis Equity Markets in India by : Shveta Singh

Download or read book Equity Markets in India written by Shveta Singh. This book was released on 2016-05-06. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book presents a comprehensive view of the Indian equity markets over the past two decades (1994-2014). Equity markets constitute the most important segment of stock exchanges; in fact, the status of equity returns is, by and large, considered as a barometer of the state of a country’s economy. Returns earned by the equity investors on their funds invested in equity markets have become a decisive factor in the growth of such markets. In this context, the book discusses all the major aspects of equity returns and also conducts a dis-aggregative analysis based on underlying factors like age, size, ownership structure, industry affiliation/sector, among others, to explain the factors affecting returns and risk. While on the one hand the study ascertains the market rates of return (earned) on equities from the investors’ perspective (by including both the capital gains and the dividend income), it also shows how to compute the rates of returns on equities from the corporate perspective (that is, rate of return earned on equity funds). It further assesses the required/expected rate of return and examines the volatility in stock returns, with a focus on its behaviour during the period of the study. It deepens investors’ understanding of equity investment, helping them to make more-informed investments. While of interest to the investor community, this book also contributes significantly to the existing literature on market returns and is a valuable reference resource for academics, researchers and market participants, financial institutions and other intermediaries, regulators and policy makers.

Long Term Price Momentum, Early, and Late Strategies in Indian Market Stock Return

2016
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Release : 2016
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Book Synopsis Long Term Price Momentum, Early, and Late Strategies in Indian Market Stock Return by : Martin Bernard

Download or read book Long Term Price Momentum, Early, and Late Strategies in Indian Market Stock Return written by Martin Bernard. This book was released on 2016. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In recent days price momentum has gained considerable attention among the financial market researchers, as it deals with simple trading strategies offering abnormal returns based on historical market informations. However there is scarcity of works in this line of research in emerging markets. This paper investigates the long horizon relationship between historical trading volume and momentum return in Indian stock market, which is one of the most promising emerging markets. We also investigate the profitability of early-stage and late-stage strategies in Indian context. Our sample contains the blue-chip stocks represented in BSE-100 index over a period of eight years starting from August 2004 to July 2012. The study created double-sorted portfolios for measuring the volume based price momentum returns by applying Lee and Swaminathan (2000) methodology, which necessitated measuring the differences in the momentum return of low and high trading volume stocks. Our results suggest that there is no role for historical trading volume in boosting the magnitude of momentum profits over long horizon portfolios. Our findings also shows that neither long-term price momentum nor long-term price reversal strategy are pronounced in early-stage and late-stage respectively.

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