Author : Mr.Ondrej Kamenik
Release : 2008-12-01
Genre : Business & Economics
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 368/5 ( reviews)
Book Synopsis A Small Quarterly Projection Model of the US Economy by : Mr.Ondrej Kamenik
Download or read book A Small Quarterly Projection Model of the US Economy written by Mr.Ondrej Kamenik. This book was released on 2008-12-01. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is the first of a series of papers that are being written as part of a project to estimate a small quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit for studying both own-country and cross-country linkages. In this paper, we estimate a small quarterly projection model of the U.S. economy. The model is estimated with Bayesian techniques, which provide a very efficient way of imposing restrictions to produce both plausible dynamics and sensible forecasting properties. After developing a benchmark model without financial-real linkages, we introduce such linkages into the model and compare the results with and without linkages.