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Bubble Value at Risk

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Release : 2013-01-30
Genre : Business & Economics
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 374/5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis Bubble Value at Risk by : Max C. Y. Wong

Download or read book Bubble Value at Risk written by Max C. Y. Wong. This book was released on 2013-01-30. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Introduces a powerful new approach to financial risk modeling with proven strategies for its real-world applications The 2008 credit crisis did much to debunk the much touted powers of Value at Risk (VaR) as a risk metric. Unlike most authors on VaR who focus on what it can do, in this book the author looks at what it cannot. In clear, accessible prose, finance practitioners, Max Wong, describes the VaR measure and what it was meant to do, then explores its various failures in the real world of crisis risk management. More importantly, he lays out a revolutionary new method of measuring risks, Bubble Value at Risk, that is countercyclical and offers a well-tested buffer against market crashes. Describes Bubble VaR, a more macro-prudential risk measure proven to avoid the limitations of VaR and by providing a more accurate risk exposure estimation over market cycles Makes a strong case that analysts and risk managers need to unlearn our existing "science" of risk measurement and discover more robust approaches to calculating risk capital Illustrates every key concept or formula with an abundance of practical, numerical examples, most of them provided in interactive Excel spreadsheets Features numerous real-world applications, throughout, based on the author’s firsthand experience as a veteran financial risk analyst

Bubble Value at Risk: Background

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Author :
Release : 2013
Genre : Business cycles
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 925/5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis Bubble Value at Risk: Background by : Max C. Y. Wong

Download or read book Bubble Value at Risk: Background written by Max C. Y. Wong. This book was released on 2013. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Introduces a powerful new approach to financial risk modeling with proven strategies for its real-world applications The 2008 credit crisis did much to debunk the much touted powers of Value at Risk (VaR) as a risk metric. Unlike most authors on VaR who focus on what it can do, in this book the author looks at what it cannot. In clear, accessible prose, finance practitioners, Max Wong, describes the VaR measure and what it was meant to do, then explores its various failures in the real world of crisis risk management. More importantly, he lays out a revolutionary new method of measuring risks.

Bubble Value at Risk

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Author :
Release : 2011
Genre : Asset-liability management
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 762/5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis Bubble Value at Risk by : Max C. Y. Wong

Download or read book Bubble Value at Risk written by Max C. Y. Wong. This book was released on 2011. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Most risk management books introduce Value at Risk (VaR) by focusing on what it can do and its statistical measurements. The credit crisis in 2008 was a tidal wave that debunked this well-established risk metric. In this book, the author introduces VaR by looking at its failures instead and explores possible alternatives for effective crisis risk management, including a new method of measuring risks called bubble value at risk that is countercyclical and can potentially buffer against market crashes.The frequentist-statistics-based VaR is predictive during normal circumstances but often fails patently during rare crisis episodes. In reality, crisis periods span only a tiny portion of financial market history. By relying on VaR for crisis risk management, we are using a tried and tested tool for the wrong occasion-we mistake the tree for the forest. The book argues that we need to unlearn our existing "science" of risk measurement and discover more robust ways to manage risks and to calculate risk capital.The book illustrates virtually every key concept or formula with a practical, numerical example, many of which are contained in interactive Excel spreadsheets. All worked out examples/ case studies spreadsheets are downloadable from the companion website: www.bubble-value-at-risk.com

Bubble Value at Risk

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Author :
Release : 2010
Genre :
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : 349/5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis Bubble Value at Risk by : Max Chan Yue Wong

Download or read book Bubble Value at Risk written by Max Chan Yue Wong. This book was released on 2010. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Risk Measures and the Impact of Asset Price Bubbles

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Author :
Release : 2016
Genre :
Kind : eBook
Book Rating : /5 ( reviews)

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Book Synopsis Risk Measures and the Impact of Asset Price Bubbles by : Robert A. Jarrow

Download or read book Risk Measures and the Impact of Asset Price Bubbles written by Robert A. Jarrow. This book was released on 2016. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes the impact of asset price bubbles on a firm's standard risk measures, including value-at-risk (VaR) and conditional value-at-risk (CVaR). Comparing a bubble and non-bubble economy, it is shown that asset price bubbles cause (i) a firm's VaR and CVaR to decline, but (ii) increase its expected daily and maximum daily losses. This decline in the standard risk measures is due to the increased right skew in a firm value's distribution due to bubble expansion. The increase in the expected daily losses is due to bubble bursting. This implies that the standard risk measures are not adequate for equity capital determination in the present of asset price bubbles, and that scenario analysis which include bursting bubbles are essential for the proper determination of equity capital.

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